About the Economy blog

We won't know for some time the tariff effects on inflation. The consumer price index rose a modest 0.2% in February, a sharp step down...

Stronger-than-expected job growth, but unemployment virtually unchanged. Markets are in a dither this morning because of concerns that a...

Also a U HERO blog post . Immigrants have always been an important part of America’s population. But for just as long there have been...

The US economy is not in recession. In this LinkedIn and UHERO article, I illustrate this by comparing the current situation to a past...

by Byron Gangnes COVID's aftermath brought soaring inflation to Japan, a country that averaged less than 0.2% inflation between 1995 and...

UHERO blog post: The US economy surprised to the upside last year. Inflation receded rapidly without large-scale labor market pain. In...

UHERO blog post: There is a marked difference between what Fed officials expect about their likely interest rate cuts this year and what...

by Byron Gangnes Since it keeps coming up, let me spend a few minutes explaining this. Here is a basic summary of the approach used by...

The Federal Open Market Committee begins its last meeting of the year tomorrow in Washington, DC. Here’s the economic picture they will...